Tuesday, November 25, 2025
Market index buying and selling started flat this morning, however was in a position to cruise to a better altitude on information in line with easing the Fed funds price going ahead. Notes that President Trump’s present NEC Director Kevin Hassett is the frontrunner to take over for Fed Chair Jerome Powell when his time period expires in Could of 2026 (if not sooner) is giving market members permission to cost in a number of price cuts as soon as once more, maybe beginning subsequent month.
The Dow, thus, grew +664 factors at this time, +1.43%, and second solely to the +2.14% good points within the small-cap Russell 2000 at this time. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq cut up the distinction at this time, +0.91% and +0.67%, respectively. Session highs have been reached later within the afternoon, however tapered as of the shut. Indexes have rebounded properly from near-term lows on Friday of final week.
Housing Information Largely Cooling: Case-Shiller, Pending House Gross sales
Earlier at this time, Case-Shiller House Costs for September — not a delayed report from the federal government shutdown; Case-Shiller numbers are actually reported that far in arrears — met expectations general at +1.3%, following a downwardly revised +1.4% the earlier month. This marks the fourth straight month the place house costs have are available in beneath general inflation (+1.7% Inflation Charge in September).
All 20 cities within the larger survey have been down month over month. Yr over yr, they have been led by Chicago +5.5%, New York Metropolis +5.2% and Boston +4.1%. These on the backside of this listing are Phoenix -2.0%, and each Dallas and Miami -1.3%. The ten-city survey gained +0.2% from a yr in the past; the 20-city +0.1%. Whereas this isn’t terrific information for these trying to promote their properties, it’s welcome for an financial system general cautious of looming inflation.
Pending House Gross sales rose a lot increased than anticipated in October, to +1.9% month over month, from an upwardly revised +0.10% the prior month. They’re nonetheless down yr over yr, -0.40%, however an enchancment from the -0.90% reported final month. The Current House Worth Common rose practically $3000: $415.2K from $412.3K beforehand.
Softer Financial Reviews Elsewhere: Client Confidence, Biz Inventories
We noticed a giant drop within the month-to-month Client Confidence index for November earlier at this time, with 88.7 falling from 95.5 sequentially, and the bottom we’ve seen since 85.7 in April. This newest client confidence survey was taken when the federal government shutdown confirmed no indicators of abating, take into account — just like the April determine coming within the wake of the “Liberation Day” tariff marketing campaign.
Enterprise Inventories for August — this one is a delayed report as a result of shutdown — additionally slowed to 0.0%, as anticipated and now the third “unched” quantity on enterprise inventories prior to now 5 months. We haven’t seen a unfavourable print on this metric since December of final yr. And anyway, dwindling inventories isn’t essentially a nasty factor — it simply means extra good can be wanted going ahead.
Earnings Outcomes After the Closing Bell: URBN, DELL & Extra
City Outfitters URBN saved retail earnings in a formidable vary (after Abercrombie and Kohl’s hit house runs forward of at this time’s open) after at this time’s shut, with earnings of $1.28 per share simply surpassing the $1.19 within the Zacks consensus, on $1.53 billion in revenues, because the flagship model grew 3x expectations, +12.5% within the quarter. Anthropologie additionally outperformed.
Dell Applied sciences DELL was combined in its Q3 report this afternoon, beating estimates simply on the underside line with earnings of $2.59 per share over the $2.48 anticipated. Revenues, although, missed expectations: $27.01 billion versus $27.27 billion anticipated. Full-year steering was raised on power in AI infrastructure options, however late-trading shares are -1% at this hour.
Hewlett Packard HPQ shares have fallen -5% on a income miss and a slight beat on fiscal This fall earnings this afternoon. Earnings of 93 cents per share outpaced estimates by 2 cents, however $14.64 billion in gross sales was beneath the $15.02 billion projected. The low finish of earnings steering for each the continued quarter and full fiscal yr have been pulled down within the report.
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