Bitcoin (BTC) chart technicals counsel that the BTC value rebound to $100,000 should still occur by September.
BTC/USD each day chart. Supply: TradingView
Key takeaways:
- Bitcoin is portray a possible double-bottom and bullish divergence sample.
- BTC value should break above a resistance confluence close to $66,700
Double-bottom hints at 60% BTC value upside
BTC rebounded 13.25% from its native low under $60,000, as a preliminary truce between the US and Iran revived threat urge for food throughout world markets.
The restoration pushed BTC again towards $67,000 on June 15, monitoring a broader reduction rally in threat belongings after the geopolitical breakthrough pressured oil costs decrease and lowered near-term inflation fears.
Now, the three-day Bitcoin chart is flashing a possible double-bottom reversal close to the $60,000 assist zone.
BTC has rebounded from the $60,000 space for the second time in 2026, strengthening the case that patrons are defending the identical demand area that beforehand supported the market throughout earlier corrections.
BTC/USDT three-day value chart. Supply: TradingView
The primary backside fashioned close to the March low, whereas the most recent rebound got here after a pointy June sell-off that briefly pushed Bitcoin again towards the identical degree. So long as BTC holds above the $60,000 assist, the double-bottom construction stays energetic.
The setup’s neckline sits close to $81,000, the place Bitcoin beforehand stalled earlier than the most recent leg down.
A decisive shut above that degree would verify the double-bottom sample and open the door to a measured transfer towards $108,000 by August or September, or over 60% from present value ranges.
Bitcoin weekly RSI divergence strengthens $100,000 setup
Bitcoin’s weekly chart is exhibiting a bullish divergence between value and the relative energy index (RSI) momentum indicator.
BTC just lately made a decrease low close to the $60,000–$65,000 assist zone, however its weekly RSI fashioned a better low. That reveals sellers pushed the value decrease, albeit with much less momentum.
BTC/USD weekly chart. Supply: TradingView
An analogous divergence appeared close to Bitcoin’s 2022 bear-market backside, when RSI recovered earlier than value adopted with a multi-month rebound.
In a Monday put up, analyst Jelle stated Bitcoin might act “equally to late 2022 within the coming months.”
The present setup now strengthens Bitcoin’s double-bottom case close to $60,000. BTC nonetheless wants affirmation, with the primary large resistance ranges close to the 20-week EMA at $74,500 and the 50-week EMA round $82,500.
Reclaiming these ranges would improve the chance of a summer time restoration towards $100,000. Whereas a weekly shut under $60,000 would weaken the bullish setup.
Bitcoin bear flag stays a threat
Bitcoin’s short-term chart nonetheless leaves room for an additional draw back transfer earlier than the broader bullish reversal setup confirms.
BTC is testing a resistance confluence fashioned by the bear flag’s higher development line and the 20-day EMA (inexperienced) close to $66,700.
Associated: Bitcoin evaluation warns over BTC value rejection as $67K approaches
A rejection from this zone may ship the value again towards the flag’s decrease development line close to $63,600, conserving Bitcoin trapped inside its bearish continuation construction.
BTC/USD each day value chart. Supply: TradingView
A decisive each day shut under that decrease development line would verify the bear flag breakdown. Based mostly on the peak of the earlier sell-off, the measured draw back goal is $53,850, or about 20% under present costs.
Declining quantity throughout the flag’s formation will increase the probabilities of this state of affairs, as weak participation usually indicators that the rebound is corrective relatively than impulsive.
Bitcoin whale inflows add draw back stress
The bearish short-term setup additionally aligns with elevated promoting from Bitcoin whales.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost famous that whale inflows to Binance rose sharply after BTC’s newest correction. Giant holders despatched a mean of three,200 BTC per day to the change over the previous month, up from 1,200 BTC on the finish of April.
Binance inflows by whales holding over 100,000 BTC. Supply: CryptoQuant/Darkfrost
“This development means that many massive holders elevated their promoting exercise, or no less than their willingness to promote, throughout the latest downturn,” he wrote in a Monday notice.
