The Nasdaq MarketSite in New York, US, on Monday, June 15, 2026.
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Pictures
Tech bulls might not have to attend for much longer for contemporary highs, if the single-biggest commerce within the Invesco QQQ Belief ETF on Thursday is any indication.
The dealer spent $24 million on a three-part name unfold that wants the Nasdaq-100 index to make an all-time excessive by the top of this month, a high-conviction directional wager and the third-biggest commerce amongst all choices exchanged on Thursday.
Regardless of current volatility, the Nasdaq 100 has been successfully flat since Might 14. The index final made a excessive on June 3, with most choices quantity centering across the $710 degree, in response to knowledge from ThinkOrSwim. On the similar time, the S&P 500 has been buying and selling in a roughly 200-point vary since early Might.
The primary piece of the bullish place, executed about 90 minutes after the opening bell, was a $30 million buy of 28,000 736-strike calls expiring July 31. On the similar time, the individual bought $6 million price of the 730/740-strike name unfold expiring the identical date, decreasing the price of the commerce, however pushing the breakeven as much as about $750 – lower than $2 above the QQQ excessive from early June.
Invesco QQQ Belief, YTD
“If he does not have one other place in opposition to this, he wants Qs to blow up greater,” Scott Bauer, CEO of Chicago-based Prosper Buying and selling Academy, mentioned by cellphone. “The unfold reduces his value however pushes up the extent for the breakeven. If the index simply grinds he will get killed.”
Open curiosity within the 736-strike calls was equal to the amount of the commerce on the time of execution, suggesting the dealer might need been shopping for again calls that they bought, arguably a lower-conviction commerce however nonetheless one which displays a impartial to constructive view on the index.
Of the $1.6 billion in QQQ choices traded Thursday, $944 million was tied to calls, in response to SpotGamma knowledge, although about as many calls have been bought as purchased, ThinkOrSwim knowledge recommend. Virtually precisely the identical variety of contracts have been bought as purchased for each places and calls.
Whereas the $24 million commerce stands out for its obvious directional bias, one of many two trades greater on the day was additionally bullish, within the S&P 500 ETF SPY.
In that fund, somebody purchased 2,000 of deep in-the-money 500-strike calls expiring July 24 for $50 million.
The second-biggest single commerce of the day was in nuclear enterprise Oklo, the place somebody purchased $46 million price of 200-strike calls expiring in January 2028, in addition to $21 million of 90-strike calls expiring in mid-December. The inventory presently trades at $50.

