Tuesday, December 16, 2025
Markets have been blended in the present day — largely down however for an uptick on the tech-heavy Nasdaq, partly due to excellent news from Tesla TSLA on its robotaxi till helped the inventory rise +3% in the present day, to a brand new all-time closing excessive. The Dow, S&P 500 and small-cap Russell 2000 have been all down for the day: -0.62%, -0.24% and 0.45%, respectively. The Nasdaq was up +54 factors, +0.23%, on the session.
This morning’s jobs report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) bounced again considerably in November to +64K, however from an October low of -105K not seen because the preliminary months of the Covid pandemic. A part of this was by design, to take away federal authorities jobs as per President Trump’s marketing campaign promise to decrease prices. But it surely contributed to a internet lack of -41K jobs monthly on common. Often job losses this excessive get traders buzzing concerning the “r” phrase…
Retail Gross sales, S&P PMI Inform Morning Buying and selling
Retail Gross sales for October — one other delayed report because of the authorities shutdown — got here in unched (0.0%) from an anticipated rise of +0.1%. This follows a downwardly revised +0.1% the prior month. Ex-auto gross sales, we moved the opposite means: +0.4% from +0.2% anticipated, and once more revised down the earlier month — from +0.3% to +0.1%. That is the best print because the +0.6% from August.
Ex-autos and gasoline, this quantity climbed to +0.5%, and the Management determine — which finds its means into different financial reviews all through the month — was a fair larger +0.8%, the best learn since June, matching the best print of the yr. Once more, we see the American client taking part to an encouraging diploma, as soon as we glance previous the headline quantity.
S&P flash Companies and Manufacturing PMI for December got here in under expectations this morning, with the Companies sector tallying 52.9 from an upwardly revised 54.1 the prior month, and Manufacturing dropping to 51.8 from a downwardly revised 52.2 for November. That mentioned, these metrics stay securely above the 50 threshold which determines progress from loss.
A surplus in international crude oil and issues about financial progress slowing have assisted oil costs in transferring to near-five-year lows. The West Texas crude January future traded at $55 per barrel (bbl) in the present day, This marks 10 straight days under the $60/bbl degree, with spot costs within the purple all all over the world besides in South Texas for in the present day. It’s a great signal for protecting inflation metrics low, however dangerous for firms like Phillips 66 PSX, which dropped nearly -7% in the present day.
Lennar House Combined in This fall on Decrease House Gross sales Numbers
Miami-based multi-segment homebuilder Lennar House LEN posted This fall earnings after in the present day’s closing bell, lacking on the underside line on account of a one-time cost of $156 million to earnings of $1.93 per share. Revenues of $9.37 billion got here in forward of the $9.13 billion within the Zacks consensus. Gross margins of +17% have been barely under market estimates.
New orders have been right down to +18% yr over yr, because the “general market remained challenged” within the quarter, in line with co-CEO and Government Chairman Stuart Miller. The opposite co-CEO, Jon Jaffe, retires on the finish of this yr. Expectations for between 17-18K new deliveries are under analyst estimates.
What to Anticipate from Tomorrow’s Market
Whether or not market members will proceed to ruminate over whether or not the economic system is weakening because of the comfortable jobs numbers — or whether or not they regain hope that CPI figures Thursday morning could enhance the probability that the Fed could also be reducing rates of interest at its January assembly — is difficult to inform from right here. All 4 main indexes are within the inexperienced over the previous month of buying and selling, however solely the Dow is for the final 5 buying and selling classes.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the creator and don’t essentially replicate these of Nasdaq, Inc.
