Banks, brokers, and stablecoin issuers can freeze belongings, whereas Bitcoin, Solana, and Ethereum stay unfrozen. The USDC depeg by December 31 market sits at
USDC and USDT are each topic to issuer-level freezing, which creates a possible path to depegging throughout geopolitical disruption. The USDC depeg by December 31 market is at
Odds haven’t moved. The market has a face worth of $0, and there’s no energetic buying and selling quantity. Merchants seem like ready for concrete developments earlier than taking positions. The time period construction is flat, with no modifications in odds throughout decision dates.
Native L1 belongings like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana resist protocol-level freezes, which provides them a structural benefit over stablecoins in eventualities involving state-level asset seizure or infrastructure assaults. However the absence of buying and selling exercise reveals merchants aren’t treating this as a significant shift in stablecoin depegging threat.
Look ahead to statements from Jeremy Allaire (Circle) and Paolo Ardoino (Tether). Any bulletins about stablecoin reserves or regulatory modifications may transfer odds.
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