 
 
Veteran dealer and writer Bob Loukas, who has over 30 years of expertise in monetary markets and is thought for his 60-day BTC cycle concept, shared a brand new Bitcoin value outlook on Monday. Not like the wave of optimistic predictions that swept the crypto world over the weekend, Loukas’s evaluation supplied little motive for bullish sentiment.
In his newest evaluation, Loukas notes that regardless of Bitcoin being deeply oversold, the weekly chart “stays horrendous.” From a purely visible standpoint, he says, the apex cryptocurrency appears to be “hanging by a thread,” hinting at the opportunity of one other important drop. Loukas additionally set a dark value goal of roughly $49,000 per BTC for the main digital asset.
Bitcoin Worth To Crash To $49,000?
Responding to commenters who cited the enterprise cycle indicator, Loukas dismissed it because the “largest cope” in crypto. He additionally sees no proof of a halving-driven rally, asserting that the upcoming halving is unrelated to Bitcoin’s present value motion.
In accordance with the pundit, early inflows have been pushed extra by spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) developments, a professional‑crypto authorities stance, and regulatory shifts — however “beneath all of it, it has all the time been a bear cycle.”
Crypto costs are recovering from their worst weekend lows on Monday, mirroring a robust rebound in U.S. fairness markets. Bitcoin has climbed to $69,343, gaining 5.4% prior to now 24 hours, in line with CoinGecko information.
 
The premier crypto at the moment stays roughly 25% above Loukas’s goal. If his projections maintain, this means that from the October 2025 peak, BTC might probably plummet by an eye-watering 60%.
Analyst Tony Severino echoed this bearish outlook, citing Ichimoku Cloud indicators that recommend an additional decline of 38% to 66% from present ranges is sort of sure.
