Main cryptocurrency Solana (SOL) can drop to as little as $50 if a distinguished trendline fails, one widespread analyst argues. The Sixth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has been on a restoration mission for the reason that begin of 2026, with double-digit positive factors, however it’s nonetheless beneath strain because the New Yr’s momentum might be fading.
SOL is presently buying and selling at roughly $138, down 2% every day, with a every day quantity of $1.9B. The market sentiment is presently upbeat, as SOL has held on to the New Yr worth restoration thus far, however it’s beneath strain to proceed.
Ali Charts, a preferred crypto analyst with over 164,000 followers, believes the bulls have to preserve SOL above a transparent trendline to keep away from a significant worth dump. He tweeted:

The trendline dates again to early 2023 and exhibits that, even amid main hiccups, the programmable digital foreign money has bounced off it. Ali has predicted that the trendline wants to carry; in any other case, the bears may have a discipline day and ultimately kind a backside at round $50, registering a morale-shattering 62% worth drop within the course of.
Solana’s Outlook
The cryptocurrency’s 14-day RSI is hovering simply above 40, indicating the market is presently in a impartial or cool zone and never exhibiting a robust inclination in direction of both facet in the intervening time. The bulls will have a look at the present setup and see a shopping for alternative, whereas the bears will take coronary heart that the worth restoration has stalled for now. The scenario is delicately poised and will sway in both course, offered the circumstances current themselves.
One X consumer replied to Ali’s put up:
“That degree actually issues.
If that trendline snaps with quantity, draw back can speed up quick — $50 turns into a sensible magnet.
Till then, it’s nonetheless help, however that is the place threat administration issues most.
Let the extent determine, not conviction.”
One other quipped:
“SOL’s trendline is essential; a break may set off a big drop to $50, big threat for holders.”
Ali rounded off with this bearish prediction by sharing a GIF of the US Federal Reserve printing cash. Ali’s prediction, whereas comprehensible, exhibits the potential for a significant worth dump, but it surely additionally exhibits that there’s potential for a significant upside worth motion, too. The analyst is being extraordinarily cautious concerning the long run after 2025’s main hiccups.


