The Japanese Yen (JPY) is barely weaker versus the US Greenback (USD), underperforming most G10 currencies, as markets await subsequent week’s BoJ assembly the place a 25bps charge hike is broadly anticipated. Policymakers sign the potential for additional tightening in 2026, preserving USD/JPY range-bound between 154 and 157, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
USD/JPY stays range-bound amid hawkish BoJ alerts
“The yen is coming into Friday’s NA session with a 0.2% decline vs. the USD and underperformance in opposition to the entire G10 currencies except the Skandies SEK and NOK.”
“Experiences of a constructive, hawkish shift on the BoJ have didn’t ship energy—thus far—with media suggesting that policymakers predict an extension of the tightening cycle past 0.75%. Subsequent week’s BoJ coverage resolution is broadly anticipated to ship a 25bpt hike, to 0.75%, and policymakers look like paving the best way for additional tightening in 2026.”
“We’re impartial USD/JPY awaiting a break of the current vary certain between the mid-154 and upper-157 areas.”

