The substitute intelligence (AI) increase has fueled fast progress for NVIDIA Company NVDA, whose shares elevated 33.2% over the previous 12 months. Nonetheless, in the identical interval, the smaller BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. BBAI capitalized on the rising demand for the AI software program options market and climbed 181%. Does this indicate that BigBear.ai might change into the “subsequent NVIDIA” and advantage investor consideration now? Let’s see –
2 Causes to be Bullish on BigBear.ai Inventory
Firstly of the 12 months, the federal authorities’s willingness to spice up home progress in know-how fueled BigBear.ai’s shares to document highs. Nonetheless, later, President Trump’s substantial cuts to federal spending impacted BigBear.ai’s share value. Because of the lowered funding, BigBear.ai’s revenues fell 20% 12 months over 12 months to $33.1 million within the third quarter, following an 18% year-over-year decline to $32.5 million within the second quarter.
However BigBear.ai’s top-line efficiency is poised to rebound following its definitive deal to amass Ask Sage for $250 million, which is a quickly increasing generative AI platform constructed for safe AI deployment in regulated fields, together with protection and nationwide safety, citing ir.bigbear.ai. Ask Sage is extensively adopted, with businesses starting from the Protection Well being Company to the US Area Power using it. Now, Ask Sage helps 100,000 customers throughout 16,000 authorities groups.
CEO of BigBear.ai, Kevin McAleenan, stated, “by integrating Ask Sage with BigBear.ai, we’re creating what the market has been asking for: a safe, built-in AI platform that connects software program, information, and mission companies in a single place.” Banking on the Ask Sage acquisition to speed up income progress, BigBear.ai is sticking to its full-year gross sales steering between $125 million and $140 million.
Along with an anticipated enchancment in revenues, BigBear.ai additionally advantages from a robust stability sheet. Its stability sheet strengthened sequentially, culminating in a document $456.6 million in money as of September 30, 2025, giving the corporate a robust basis to ramp up progress. A robust money place will assist BigBear.ai to fund progress initiatives, pursue extra acquisitions, and scale its operations at a quicker tempo.
Is BBAI Price Investing In Now? May or not it’s the Subsequent NVIDIA?
BigBear.ai is ready for progress with the Ask Sage acquisition and a robust money cushion, and McAleenan expects the elevated authorities spending subsequent 12 months, due to Trump’s “massive, stunning invoice,” to additional enhance the corporate’s enterprise. Lest we overlook, the corporate did put up a internet earnings of $2.5 million for the third quarter, whereas it had posted a internet lack of $15.1 million in the identical interval a 12 months in the past, a big milestone towards profitability.
Brokers are additionally optimistic about BigBear.ai’s progress sooner or later. Consequently, they forecast the typical short-term value goal for BBAI inventory at $6.67, reflecting a ten.8% improve from the final closing value of $6.02. The best goal is $8, suggesting a possible upside of 32.9%. Due to this fact, buyers can confidently guess on BigBear.ai inventory. BigBear.ai carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Maintain) in the meanwhile. You possibly can see the whole listing of right now’s Zacks Rank #1 (Sturdy Purchase) shares right here.
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Nonetheless, to say BigBear.ai is the “subsequent NVIDIA” is untimely. It is because BigBear.ai’s loss from operations of $21.9 million within the third quarter greater than doubled the $10.5 million loss a 12 months earlier. The rise in working losses, coupled with declining gross sales, might sluggish the corporate’s progress momentum. NVIDIA, alternatively, has constantly delivered a rise in income and revenue, pushed by its dominance in AI {hardware} and a robust aggressive edge supplied by its CUDA software program platform, which is prone to proceed fueling its growth (learn extra: 3 Causes to Purchase NVIDIA After Its Huge 62% Income Surge).
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NVIDIA Company (NVDA) : Free Inventory Evaluation Report
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) : Free Inventory Evaluation Report
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the creator and don’t essentially mirror these of Nasdaq, Inc.

